@maybeoneday: In the third picture, you for sure pass. Just watch for that five o clock shadow though.... Make sure no hair shows on your face and you'll be fine. In the corset you have the body for it, but your arms are very muscular, which to me would lean more toward male rather then female. (not that there's anything wrong with muscle mind you XD)
If you were to wear a cosplay like the third picture, you have the best chance of passing then if you wore an outfit in the second one.