He's wrong, obviously. The Wii-U will be in production at the end of this year and the next xbox and Playstation already have leaked documents describing their launch timetables.
I think he's more interested in bringing the ideas of free to play to the traditional gaming space, mostly because he's focusing solely on making free to play games at this point. The closest point that he does have is that consoles probably won't be a thing where you go out and spend 300-400 dollars at launch. We already know that the 360 and the next xbox will work on a subscription model where you pay 100-200 dollars, and then enter into a subscription model for xbox live which subsidizes the cost. It's more likely that Micheal Pachter's assumption that video game consoles will become as common as cable boxes is more on the mark, them simply being installed with your cable if you buy 2 or 3 years. After the next console cycle, the technology form factor will be so different that it simply won't match what we have to do. Honestly, if this last cycle was anything to go by, we won't be seeing new consoles after the next cycle until 2022. And by then we should all have jetpacks and flying cities on clouds.
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Last edited by Mesoian : 06-17-2012 at 10:52 AM.
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